Raja Casablanca v Al-Nassr: the model read
Raja Casablanca meet Al-Nassr in the Arab Club Champions Cup quarter-finals at Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium, Abha. The model makes Al-Nassr the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 27% RAJ, 30% draw, 43% AL-.
The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1746, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Al-Nassr, 82% against 68%. Attacking output favors Al-Nassr on expected goals, 2.7 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Al-Nassr at 61%; double chance reads Raja Casablanca or draw 57%, Al-Nassr or draw 73%.
Raja Casablanca arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Olympique Safi, W 2-0 v Hassania Agadir, D 1-1 @ Ittihad Tanger, L 1-2 @ Yacoub El Mansour.
Al-Nassr are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Benfica B, W 4-1 v Damac, L 0-1 v Gamba Osaka, D 1-1 v Al-Hilal Saudi FC.
Al-Nassr hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Raja Casablanca 1-3 Al-Nassr.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
