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Liga Premier Serie A · Group 1 - 33 · Mexico

Atlético Saltillo v Tritons Vallarta

0-1Full time· Estadio Olímpico Francisco I. Madero, Saltillo

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Atlético Saltillo v Tritons Vallarta: the model read

Atlético Saltillo meet Tritons Vallarta in the Liga Premier Serie A group 1 - 33 at Estadio Olímpico Francisco I. Madero, Saltillo. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 30% ATL, 35% draw, 34% TRI.

The baseline ratings are close, 1492 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 53%. Attacking output favors Tritons Vallarta on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 24%, over 2.5 goals around 15%. Draw no bet leans Tritons Vallarta at 53%; double chance reads Atlético Saltillo or draw 66%, Tritons Vallarta or draw 70%.

Atlético Saltillo arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Leones Negros, L 0-1 v Tritons Vallarta, W 1-0 @ Colima, W 1-0 v Tecos.

Tritons Vallarta are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Deportiva Venados, D 1-1 v Deportiva Venados, D 1-1 @ Tapachula, W 1-0 v Tapachula.

The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Atlético Saltillo 0-1 Tritons Vallarta.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Atlético Saltillo

DWWLL6-7-6

Scored 0.89 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 42.1% · BTTS 36.8%

  • LALeones Negros1-4
  • LHTritons Vallarta0-1
  • WAColima1-0
  • WHTecos1-0
  • DACorrecaminos UAT II0-0

Tritons Vallarta

LWDDL9-3-8

Scored 0.95 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 30%

  • LADeportiva Venados0-1
  • DHDeportiva Venados1-1
  • DATapachula1-1
  • WHTapachula1-0
  • LALeones Negros0-1

Head-to-head

4 meetings

Atlético SaltillorecordTritons Vallarta
2
2
0 draws

Goals

5-4

for each

Avg goals

2.3

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Atlético Saltillo

Recent
LWLW
Wins 2Goals 5-4

Biggest win 2-0

Tritons Vallarta

Recent
WLWL
Wins 2Goals 4-5

Biggest win 1-0

  • Atlético Saltillo0-1Tritons Vallarta
  • Tritons Vallarta1-2Atlético Saltillo
  • Tritons Vallarta2-1Atlético Saltillo
  • Atlético Saltillo2-0Tritons Vallarta

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.