Skip to content
Liga Premier Serie A · Group 1 - 27 · Mexico

Atlético Saltillo v Orgullo Reynosa

2-1Full time· Estadio Olímpico Francisco I. Madero, Saltillo

Share
Match analysisPre-match brief

Atlético Saltillo v Orgullo Reynosa: the model read

Atlético Saltillo meet Orgullo Reynosa in the Liga Premier Serie A group 1 - 27 at Estadio Olímpico Francisco I. Madero, Saltillo. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 34% ATL, 34% draw, 32% ORG.

The baseline ratings are close, 1492 to 1468, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 47%. Attacking output favors Orgullo Reynosa on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 22%. Draw no bet leans Atlético Saltillo at 51%; double chance reads Atlético Saltillo or draw 68%, Orgullo Reynosa or draw 66%.

Atlético Saltillo arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Leones Negros, L 0-1 v Tritons Vallarta, W 1-0 @ Colima, W 1-0 v Tecos.

Orgullo Reynosa are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Gavilanes FC Matamoros, L 0-1 v Gavilanes FC Matamoros, W 2-1 @ Correcaminos UAT II, D 1-1 v Gavilanes FC Matamoros.

Atlético Saltillo hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Atlético Saltillo 2-1 Orgullo Reynosa.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

Pro

The model forecast is a Pro feature.

Live scores, stats and commentary are always free. The glass-box model — probabilities, the edge against the market and the full match dossier — unlocks on Pro.

See plans

Atlético Saltillo

DWWLL6-7-6

Scored 0.89 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 42.1% · BTTS 36.8%

  • LALeones Negros1-4
  • LHTritons Vallarta0-1
  • WAColima1-0
  • WHTecos1-0
  • DACorrecaminos UAT II0-0

Orgullo Reynosa

DDWLD5-8-6

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.26 · Clean sheets 21.1% · BTTS 57.9%

  • DAGavilanes FC Matamoros1-1
  • LHGavilanes FC Matamoros0-1
  • WACorrecaminos UAT II2-1
  • DHGavilanes FC Matamoros1-1
  • DAUA Zacatecas2-2

Head-to-head

2 meetings

Atlético SaltillorecordOrgullo Reynosa
1
0
1 draw

Goals

2-1

for each

Avg goals

1.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Atlético Saltillo

Recent
WD
Wins 1Goals 2-1

Biggest win 2-1

Orgullo Reynosa

Recent
LD
Wins 0Goals 1-2
  • Atlético Saltillo2-1Orgullo Reynosa
  • Orgullo Reynosa0-0Atlético Saltillo

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.