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World Cup - Women · Round of 16 · World

Japan W v Norway W

3-1Full time· Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington· Referee: Edina Alves Batista

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Japan W v Norway W: the model read

Japan W meet Norway W in the World Cup - Women round of 16 at Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington.

The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 63%. Attacking output favors Japan W on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.4 per match.

Japan W arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v South Africa W, W 5-0 v South Africa W, L 0-3 @ USA W, W 1-0 @ USA W.

Norway W are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Austria W, L 0-2 @ Germany W, W 3-2 @ Slovenia W, W 5-0 v Slovenia W.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Norway W 2-0 Japan W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Japan W

LWLWL11-3-6

Scored 2.40 · Conceded 0.80 · Clean sheets 55% · BTTS 30%

  • LHSouth Africa W0-1
  • WHSouth Africa W5-0
  • LAUSA W0-3
  • WAUSA W1-0
  • LAUSA W1-2

Norway W

LWWLW11-3-6

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 45%

  • WHAustria W2-1
  • LAGermany W0-2
  • WASlovenia W3-2
  • WHSlovenia W5-0
  • LHGermany W0-4

Head-to-head

2 meetings

Japan WrecordNorway W
1
1
0 draws

Goals

3-3

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Japan W

Recent
LW
Wins 1Goals 3-3

Biggest win 3-1

Norway W

Recent
WL
Wins 1Goals 3-3

Biggest win 2-0

  • Norway W2-0Japan W
  • Japan W3-1Norway W

Managers

Michihisa Kano

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Gemma Grainger

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.