Lebanon v India: the model read
Lebanon meet India in the SAFF Championship semi-finals at Sree Kanteerava Stadium, Bangalore. The model makes Lebanon the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 47% LEB, 31% draw, 22% IND.
Lebanon rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1621 to 1420. Recent form leans Lebanon, 66% against 39%. Attacking output favors Lebanon on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 27%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans Lebanon at 69%; double chance reads Lebanon or draw 78%, India or draw 53%.
Lebanon arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Yemen, L 1-2 @ Sudan, W 3-0 @ Brunei, W 4-0 @ Bhutan.
India are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Tajikistan, L 1-3 @ Tajikistan, L 0-1 v Zimbabwe, L 0-2 @ Jamaica.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Lebanon 1-0 India.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
