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La Liga · Regular Season - 32 · Spain

Almeria v Villarreal

1-2Full time· Power Horse Stadium, Almería· Referee: Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias, Spain

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Almeria v Villarreal: the model read

Almeria meet Villarreal in the La Liga regular season - 32 at Power Horse Stadium, Almería.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 60%. Attacking output favors Villarreal on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 67%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans Villarreal at 53%; double chance reads Almeria or draw 63%, Villarreal or draw 66%.

Almeria arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Tenerife, W 3-0 v Eldense, W 4-0 @ Cordoba, W 2-0 @ Al-Nassr.

Villarreal are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Atletico Madrid, D 2-2 @ Racing Santander, W 2-1 @ Galatasaray, W 1-0 v Levante.

Villarreal hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Almeria 1-2 Villarreal.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Almeria

LWWWL10-3-7

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • LATenerife0-1
  • WHEldense3-0
  • WACordoba4-0
  • WAAl-Nassr2-0
  • LAReal Betis0-1

Villarreal

LWWDD9-6-5

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 75%

  • DAAtletico Madrid2-2
  • DARacing Santander2-2
  • WAGalatasaray2-1
  • WHLevante1-0
  • LALens1-3

Head-to-head

10 meetings

AlmeriarecordVillarreal
0
8
2 draws

Goals

8-26

for each

Avg goals

3.4

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Almeria

Recent
LLLLLD
Wins 0Goals 8-26

Villarreal

Recent
WWWWWD
Wins 8Goals 26-8

Biggest win 8-0

  • Almeria1-2Villarreal
  • Villarreal2-1Almeria
  • Almeria0-2Villarreal
  • Villarreal2-1Almeria
  • Villarreal8-0Almeria
  • Almeria3-3Villarreal
  • Almeria0-0Villarreal
  • Villarreal2-0Almeria
  • Villarreal2-0Almeria
  • Almeria2-3Villarreal

Managers

Javier Garcia Pimienta Francisco

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Away coach unavailable.

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.