Japan W v Vietnam W: the model read
Japan W meet Vietnam W in the Olympics Women - Qualification Asia 2nd round - 3 at Stadion Lokomotiv, Tashkent. The model makes Japan W the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 46% JAP, 27% draw, 27% VIE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 55%. Attacking output favors Japan W on expected goals, 2.4 to 2.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 71%, over 2.5 goals around 81%. Draw no bet leans Japan W at 63%; double chance reads Japan W or draw 73%, Vietnam W or draw 54%.
Japan W arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v South Africa W, W 5-0 v South Africa W, L 0-3 @ USA W, W 1-0 @ USA W.
Vietnam W are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Japan W, L 0-1 @ Chinese Taipei W, W 2-1 v India W, L 1-6 @ China W.
Japan W hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Japan W 4-0 Vietnam W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
