Atletico Paranaense v CRB: the model read
Atletico Paranaense meet CRB in the Copa Do Brasil 3rd round at Arena da Baixada, Curitiba, Paraná. The model makes Atletico Paranaense the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% ATL, 31% draw, 33% CRB.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 53%. Attacking output favors CRB on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 45%. Draw no bet leans Atletico Paranaense at 53%; double chance reads Atletico Paranaense or draw 67%, CRB or draw 64%.
Atletico Paranaense arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Sao Paulo, L 1-2 @ RB Bragantino, L 0-1 @ Boca Juniors, W 1-0 v Mirassol.
CRB are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Ceara, W 2-1 v Nautico Recife, D 2-2 v Goias, L 0-5 @ Londrina.
Atletico Paranaense hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: CRB 0-1 Atletico Paranaense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
