Vargas Torres v Macara: the model read
Vargas Torres meet Macara in the Liga Pro Serie B regular season - 3 at Estadio 7 de Octubre, Quevedo. The model makes Vargas Torres the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 34% VAR, 33% draw, 32% MAC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 63%. Attacking output favors Macara on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 26%. Draw no bet leans Vargas Torres at 52%; double chance reads Vargas Torres or draw 68%, Macara or draw 66%.
Vargas Torres arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Cumbayá, W 1-0 @ Chacaritas, L 0-1 @ Imbabura, D 0-0 @ 22 de Julio.
Macara are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Gualaceo SC, W 4-1 @ Aucas, W 3-0 v Deportivo Cuenca, L 1-2 @ Delfin SC.
Macara hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Vargas Torres 0-2 Macara.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
