United States v Bosnia and Herzegovina

United States meet Bosnia and Herzegovina in the FIFA World Cup 2026 round of 32 at Levi's Stadium, San-Francisco. The model makes United States the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% USA, 30% draw, 29% BIH.

The baseline ratings are close, 1870 to 1790, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans United States, 68% against 58%. Attacking output favors United States on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.

Model score projection: most likely United States 1-0 Bosnia and Herzegovina, from expected goals of 1.7 to 1.0.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans United States at 58%; double chance reads United States or draw 71%, Bosnia and Herzegovina or draw 60%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.