Scotland v Brazil

Scotland meet Brazil in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group c at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens. The model makes Brazil the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 25% SCO, 29% draw, 46% BRA.

Brazil rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 2030 to 1800. Recent form leans Brazil, 76% against 60%. Attacking output favors Brazil on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.2 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Scotland 0-2 Brazil, from expected goals of 0.9 to 2.2.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 59%. Draw no bet leans Brazil at 65%; double chance reads Scotland or draw 54%, Brazil or draw 75%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.