Iraq v Norway

Iraq meet Norway in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group i at Gillette Stadium, Boston. The model makes Norway the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 26% IRQ, 29% draw, 45% NOR.

Norway rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1880 to 1700. Recent form leans Norway, 70% against 54%. Attacking output favors Norway on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.0 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Iraq 0-2 Norway, from expected goals of 0.9 to 2.1.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Norway at 64%; double chance reads Iraq or draw 55%, Norway or draw 74%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.