Germany v Curaçao

Germany meet Curaçao in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group e at NRG Stadium, Houston. The model makes Germany the most likely outcome at 51%, with the full read 51% GER, 27% draw, 21% CUW.

Germany rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1990 to 1650. Recent form leans Germany, 70% against 52%. Attacking output favors Germany on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.9 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Germany 2-0 Curaçao, from expected goals of 2.6 to 0.7.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 64%. Draw no bet leans Germany at 71%; double chance reads Germany or draw 79%, Curaçao or draw 49%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.