England v Ghana

England meet Ghana in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group l at Gillette Stadium, Boston. The model makes England the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 46% ENG, 29% draw, 25% GHA.

England rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 2040 to 1780. Recent form leans England, 72% against 60%. Attacking output favors England on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.2 per match.

Model score projection: most likely England 2-0 Ghana, from expected goals of 2.1 to 0.8.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans England at 65%; double chance reads England or draw 75%, Ghana or draw 54%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.