Brazil v Norway

Brazil meet Norway in the FIFA World Cup 2026 round of 16 at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford. The model makes Brazil the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% BRA, 29% draw, 30% NOR.

Brazil rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 2030 to 1880. Recent form separates little, 76% against 70%. Attacking output favors Brazil on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.7 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Brazil 2-1 Norway, from expected goals of 2.0 to 1.3.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 64%. Draw no bet leans Brazil at 57%; double chance reads Brazil or draw 70%, Norway or draw 59%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.