Ferreiras v Olhanense: the model read
Ferreiras meet Olhanense in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D group d - 21 at Estádio da Nora, Albufeira. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 33% FER, 35% draw, 32% OLH.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 28% against 30%. Attacking output favors Olhanense on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 16%. Draw no bet leans Ferreiras at 51%; double chance reads Ferreiras or draw 68%, Olhanense or draw 67%.
Ferreiras arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Varzim, L 1-2 v Atlético CP, L 1-3 @ Vasco da Gama Vidigueira, L 1-2 @ FC Serpa.
Olhanense are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Lagos, L 0-2 v Imortal Albufeira, L 0-5 @ Praiense, L 2-3 v Vasco da Gama Vidigueira.
Olhanense hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Ferreiras 0-1 Olhanense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
