Balma v Rodez II: the model read
Balma meet Rodez II in the National 3 - Group H occitanie - 10 at Stade Nicolas Campailla, Balma.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 45%. Attacking output favors Rodez II on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 69%, over 2.5 goals around 74%. Draw no bet leans Rodez II at 59%; double chance reads Balma or draw 58%, Rodez II or draw 70%.
Balma arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Beziers, L 0-1 v Montpellier II, W 5-4 @ Salinieres Aigues Mortes, W 2-1 v Castanet.
Rodez II are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Castanet, L 2-3 v Colomiers, W 3-2 v Alberes Argelès, L 1-2 @ Toulouse II.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Rodez II 1-3 Balma.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
