Marbella v Yeclano: the model read
Marbella meet Yeclano in the Primera División RFEF - Group 4 group 4 - 2nd phase - 8 at Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, Marbella. The model makes Yeclano the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 30% MAR, 32% draw, 38% YEC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Yeclano, 45% against 33%. Attacking output favors Marbella on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 39%. Draw no bet leans Yeclano at 56%; double chance reads Marbella or draw 62%, Yeclano or draw 70%.
Marbella arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Teruel, L 2-6 @ Alcorcon, L 0-1 v Juventud Torremolinos, L 1-3 @ Eldense.
Yeclano are patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Estepona, D 2-2 @ Lorca Deportiva, D 1-1 v Almería II, D 1-1 @ Antoniano.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
