Estrela v Rabo Peixe: the model read
Estrela meet Rabo Peixe in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group G group g - 22 at Estádio José Gomes, Amadora. The model makes Estrela the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% EST, 32% draw, 30% RAB.
The baseline ratings are close, 1406 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 35% against 35%. Attacking output favors Estrela on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 37%. Draw no bet leans Estrela at 56%; double chance reads Estrela or draw 70%, Rabo Peixe or draw 62%.
Estrela arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Nacional, L 1-2 v Casa Pia, W 2-0 v Naval 1893, D 2-2 @ SC Braga.
Rabo Peixe are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-7 @ Sacavenense, L 0-3 @ Anadia, W 4-0 @ União de Tomar, D 1-1 v FC Alverca II.
Estrela hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: Estrela 2-1 Rabo Peixe.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
