Carquefou v Uzès Pont du Gard: the model read
Carquefou meet Uzès Pont du Gard in the National 1 regular season - 25 at Stade du Moulin Boisseau, Carquefou. The model makes Carquefou the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% CAR, 33% draw, 22% UZÈ.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Carquefou, 53% against 23%. Attacking output favors Carquefou on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 23%, over 2.5 goals around 27%. Draw no bet leans Carquefou at 67%; double chance reads Carquefou or draw 78%, Uzès Pont du Gard or draw 55%.
Carquefou arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Trégunc, D 1-1 @ Drapeau Fougères, L 1-4 @ Gazelec FC Ajaccio, L 1-2 v Amiens.
Uzès Pont du Gard are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Fréjus St-Raphaël, L 0-3 v Gazelec FC Ajaccio, W 2-1 v RED Star FC 93, W 2-1 @ Colomiers.
Carquefou hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2014: Carquefou 2-1 Uzès Pont du Gard.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
