Luçon v Belfort: the model read
Luçon meet Belfort in the National 1 regular season - 30 at Stade Jean de Mouzon, Luçon. The model makes Belfort the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 28% LUÇ, 29% draw, 42% BEL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 45%. Attacking output favors Belfort on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 59%. Draw no bet leans Belfort at 60%; double chance reads Luçon or draw 58%, Belfort or draw 72%.
Luçon arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 5 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Laval, D 3-3 v Les Herbiers, L 0-1 @ Beziers, L 1-5 v Orleans.
Belfort are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 14 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Ivry, W 5-1 v Besançon, W 2-1 @ Mulhouse, L 1-2 v Torcy.
Belfort hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2016: Luçon 1-1 Belfort.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
