Paris Saint Germain v Lyon: the model read
Paris Saint Germain meet Lyon in the Coupe de la Ligue final at Stade de France, Paris. The model makes Paris Saint Germain the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 49% PAR, 26% draw, 25% LYO.
Paris Saint Germain rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1523. Recent form leans Paris Saint Germain, 75% against 53%. Attacking output favors Paris Saint Germain on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 82%. Draw no bet leans Paris Saint Germain at 66%; double chance reads Paris Saint Germain or draw 75%, Lyon or draw 51%.
Paris Saint Germain arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Arsenal, L 1-2 @ Paris FC, W 2-0 @ Lens, W 1-0 v Stade Brestois 29.
Lyon are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 15 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ VfL Wolfsburg, L 0-2 @ Slavia Praha, W 2-1 v Servette FC, W 6-3 v FC ST. Gallen.
Paris Saint Germain hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Paris Saint Germain 1-2 Lyon.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
