Where the market is wrong on Slavia Sofia v Botev Vratsa
Slavia Sofia meet Botev Vratsa in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies.
The baseline ratings are close, 1560 to 1516, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 58% against 53%. Attacking output favors Slavia Sofia on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.2 per match.
Slavia Sofia arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Botev Vratsa, L 1-2 v CSKA 1948, D 0-0 v Spartak Varna, W 1-0 @ Dunav Ruse.
Botev Vratsa are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Slavia Sofia, D 2-2 @ Dunav Ruse, D 0-0 v Levski Sofia, W 3-2 @ Septemvri Sofia.
The market prices SLA at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on Slavia Sofia: a 6.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 69 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
