Where the market is wrong on Brentwood Town v Dagenham & Redbridge
Brentwood Town meet Dagenham & Redbridge in the FA Cup 3rd round qualifying.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Dagenham & Redbridge, 60% against 48%. Attacking output favors Brentwood Town on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Brentwood Town arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 15 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Whyteleafe, D 3-3 v Hashtag United, W 5-1 v Maldon & Tiptree, W 3-2 @ Aveley.
Dagenham & Redbridge are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Hampton & Richmond, W 3-0 v Waltham Abbey, D 1-1 @ Waltham Abbey, L 0-1 @ Weston-super-Mare.
The market prices BRE at 20% implied. Our number sits apart on Brentwood Town: a 10.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
