Where the market is wrong on Oxford City v Enfield Town
Oxford City meet Enfield Town in the FA Cup 3rd round qualifying.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 68%. Attacking output favors Enfield Town on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.8 per match.
Oxford City arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 10 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Morecambe, W 2-0 @ Dorchester Town, W 3-0 @ Radcliffe, L 0-1 @ AFC Telford United.
Enfield Town are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ Hanwell Town, W 3-1 @ Billericay Town, L 0-2 v Dartford, W 3-2 v Cray Wanderers.
The market prices OXF at 60% implied. Our number sits apart on Enfield Town: a 14.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
