Where the market is wrong on Paysandu v Tacuarembo
Paysandu meet Tacuarembo in the Segunda División 2nd phase - 20.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 45%. Attacking output favors Paysandu on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.8 per match.
Paysandu arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Plaza Colonia, L 0-1 v La Luz, W 2-1 @ Cerrito, W 2-0 v Atenas.
Tacuarembo are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Sportivo Huracan, D 2-2 @ Uruguay Montevideo, L 0-1 v Oriental, L 0-1 @ Colón.
Tacuarembo hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tacuarembo 1-0 Paysandu.
The market prices PAY at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
