Where the market is wrong on Jordan v Syria
Jordan meet Syria in the Friendlies friendly international at King Abdullah II Stadium, Amman.
Syria rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1601 to 1454. Recent form leans Syria, 63% against 43%. Attacking output favors Syria on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Jordan arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Syria, L 1-3 v Argentina, L 1-2 v Algeria, L 1-3 @ Austria.
Syria are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Jordan, L 1-4 @ Belarus, W 5-1 v Afghanistan, L 0-1 @ Morocco.
Jordan hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Jordan 1-1 Syria.
The market prices JOR at 63% implied. Our number sits apart on Syria: a 32.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
