Where the market is wrong on Cayman Islands v Puerto Rico
Cayman Islands meet Puerto Rico in the CONCACAF Nations League league b - 1 at Estadio Centroamericano de Mayaguez, Mayaguez.
Puerto Rico rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1535 to 1400. Recent form leans Puerto Rico, 53% against 33%. Attacking output favors Puerto Rico on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.7 per match.
Cayman Islands arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Puerto Rico, L 0-2 @ Guyana, D 0-0 v Dominica, L 1-4 @ Gibraltar.
Puerto Rico are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Cayman Islands, W 2-0 @ Dominica, L 0-1 v Guyana, L 0-3 v Saudi Arabia.
Puerto Rico hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cayman Islands 0-3 Puerto Rico.
The market prices CAY at 4% implied. Our number sits apart on Cayman Islands: a 17.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
