Where the market is wrong on Belize v St. Vincent / Grenadines
Belize meet St. Vincent / Grenadines in the CONCACAF Nations League league b - 4 at FFB Stadium, Belmopan.
St. Vincent / Grenadines rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1523. Recent form leans St. Vincent / Grenadines, 70% against 50%. Attacking output favors St. Vincent / Grenadines on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.5 per match.
Belize arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v St. Vincent / Grenadines, W 1-0 @ Sint Maarten, L 1-3 @ Guyana, L 2-3 v Sint Maarten.
St. Vincent / Grenadines are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Belize, W 2-1 v French Guyana, W 3-2 @ Barbados, L 1-3 @ Bonaire.
St. Vincent / Grenadines hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Belize 0-1 St. Vincent / Grenadines.
The market prices BEL at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on St. Vincent / Grenadines: a 8.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 76 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
