Cleethorpes Town v Lancaster City

Cleethorpes Town meet Lancaster City in the FA Trophy final.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 53%. Attacking output favors Cleethorpes Town on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.

Cleethorpes Town arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Lancaster City, D 1-1 v Redcar Athletic, W 1-0 @ Ashton United, L 1-2 v Newcastle Town.

Lancaster City are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Whitby Town, L 1-5 @ Cleethorpes Town, L 0-1 @ Bradford (Park Avenue), L 0-2 v Curzon Ashton.

Cleethorpes Town hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cleethorpes Town 5-1 Lancaster City.

The market prices CLE at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.