Where the market is wrong on Myanmar W v Korea DPR W
Myanmar W meet Korea DPR W in the Asian Games Women group stage - 2 at Yanmar Stadium Nagai, Osaka.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1707, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Korea DPR W, 78% against 65%. Attacking output favors Korea DPR W on expected goals, 6.0 to 2.4 per match.
Myanmar W arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 1 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 0-8 v Korea DPR W, L 0-5 @ South Korea W, D 1-1 v Thailand W, L 0-1 v Uzbekistan W.
Korea DPR W are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 24 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 8-0 @ Myanmar W, W 10-0 v Bangladesh W, W 4-0 @ Chinese Taipei W, L 1-2 @ Australia W.
The market prices MYA at 2% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 18.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output