Where the market is wrong on Recreativo Huelva v Cacereño
Recreativo Huelva meet Cacereño in the Copa Federacion round of 16.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 60%. Attacking output favors Cacereño on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Recreativo Huelva arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Cacereño, W 2-1 v Puente Genil, L 0-3 @ Pozoblanco, W 2-0 @ Motril.
Cacereño are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Recreativo Huelva, W 1-0 v Cultural Leonesa, W 2-0 v UD San Pedro, D 1-1 @ Deportivo La Coruña II.
The market prices REC at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on Cacereño: a 6.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 67 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
