Where the market is wrong on Deportivo La Guaira v Deportivo Tachira FC
Deportivo La Guaira meet Deportivo Tachira FC in the Primera División clausura - 11 at Estadio Brigido Iriarte, Caracas.
Deportivo Tachira FC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1466. Recent form leans Deportivo Tachira FC, 68% against 45%. Attacking output favors Deportivo Tachira FC on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.5 per match.
Deportivo La Guaira arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v Deportivo Tachira FC, L 0-1 @ Carabobo FC, L 0-2 v UCV, W 2-0 v Anzoátegui FC.
Deportivo Tachira FC are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ Deportivo La Guaira, D 1-1 v Puerto Cabello, L 0-2 @ Estudiantes de Merida FC, W 3-1 v Rayo Zuliano.
Deportivo Tachira FC hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportivo La Guaira 2-4 Deportivo Tachira FC.
The market prices DEP at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on Deportivo Tachira FC: a 8.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 73 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
