Where the market is wrong on Linense v Grêmio Prudente
Linense meet Grêmio Prudente in the Copa Paulista quarter-finals.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 50%. Attacking output favors Linense on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Linense arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Grêmio Prudente, D 2-2 @ Grêmio Prudente, W 2-0 v Bandeirante SP, W 1-0 @ Marília.
Grêmio Prudente are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Linense, D 2-2 v Linense, W 3-2 @ Paulista, W 4-0 v Paulista.
Grêmio Prudente hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Linense 1-2 Grêmio Prudente.
The market prices LIN at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on Grêmio Prudente: a 4.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 61 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
