Where the market is wrong on Nitra v Slovan Bratislava
Nitra meet Slovan Bratislava in the Cup round of 64.
The baseline ratings are close, 1674 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 74% against 70%. Attacking output favors Nitra on expected goals, 2.3 to 2.3 per match.
Nitra arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 15 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Slovan Bratislava, W 2-1 v DAC II, W 5-0 @ Veľké Ludince, W 2-0 v Baník Prievidza.
Slovan Bratislava are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 15 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Nitra, D 3-3 v Žilina, L 1-6 @ Paris Saint Germain, L 0-2 @ Dunajska Streda.
The market prices NIT at 5% implied. Our number sits apart on Nitra: a 34.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
