Monza v AC Milan: the model read
Monza meet AC Milan in the Coppa Italia round of 16.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Monza, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Monza on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.2 per match.
Monza arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Torino, L 2-3 v Udinese, L 1-4 @ Inter, W 3-0 v Avellino.
AC Milan are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Venezia, W 2-1 @ Torino, W 4-2 @ Manchester United, L 0-3 @ Chelsea.
AC Milan hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 1 across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: AC Milan 2-0 Monza.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
