Mortágua v Leça: the model read
Mortágua meet Leça in the Taça de Portugal round of 128.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 57%. Attacking output favors Leça on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Mortágua arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Fazendense, D 0-0 @ SC Covilha, W 3-1 @ Sertanense, W 3-1 v Nazarenos.
Leça are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Fafe, W 2-1 @ Paredes, L 0-2 @ Guimaraes B, D 1-1 v São João Ver.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
