Where the market is wrong on Syria U20 v India U20
Syria U20 meet India U20 in the AFC U20 Asian Cup group stage - 1 at Dustlik Stadium, Tashkent.
India U20 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1715 to 1445. Recent form leans India U20, 79% against 42%. Attacking output favors India U20 on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 21%, over 2.5 goals around 37%. Draw no bet leans India U20 at 70%; double chance reads Syria U20 or draw 51%, India U20 or draw 79%.
Syria U20 arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Saudi Arabia U20, W 2-1 @ Oman U20, D 1-1 @ Oman U20, L 0-1 @ Bahrain U20.
India U20 are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 7 scored and 0 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Yemen U20, D 0-0 v Yemen U20, W 1-0 v Singapore U20, W 3-0 v Singapore U20.
The market prices SYR at 60% implied. Our number sits apart on India U20: a 32.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 85 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
