Where the market is wrong on Resistencia v Guairena FC
Resistencia meet Guairena FC in the Division Intermedia regular season - 22.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 45%. Attacking output favors Resistencia on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Resistencia arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Guairena FC, L 0-1 @ Paraguari AC, L 0-1 v Cerro Porteno, D 0-0 @ SOL DE America.
Guairena FC are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Resistencia, L 0-1 v SOL DE America, W 3-2 v 12 de Octubre, D 0-0 @ Deportivo Capiata.
Resistencia hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Resistencia 2-1 Guairena FC.
The market prices RES at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
