FC Tokyo v Shonan Bellmare: the model read
FC Tokyo meet Shonan Bellmare in the Emperor Cup round of 32 at Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FC Tokyo, 63% against 48%. Attacking output favors FC Tokyo on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
FC Tokyo arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 14 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Shimizu S-pulse, W 3-0 @ V-varen Nagasaki, W 6-0 v Parceiro Nagano, W 2-0 v JEF United Chiba.
Shonan Bellmare are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Vegalta Sendai, D 2-2 @ Omiya Ardija, W 1-0 v Reinmeer Aomori, D 0-0 @ Tegevajaro Miyazaki.
Shonan Bellmare hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Shonan Bellmare 2-2 FC Tokyo.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
