Where the market is wrong on Reipas v MyPa
Reipas meet MyPa in the Kakkonen - Lohko A group a at Lahden kisapuisto, Lahti.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Reipas, 40% against 25%. Attacking output favors Reipas on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.2 per match.
Reipas arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 7-1 v MyPa, L 0-1 @ Union Plaani, D 0-0 v PuiU Helsinki, L 1-5 @ MyPa.
MyPa are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 10 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-7 @ Reipas, L 0-3 @ PuiU Helsinki, L 2-3 v Union Plaani, W 5-1 v Reipas.
Reipas hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 3 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Reipas 7-1 MyPa.
The market prices REI at 60% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 6.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
