Where the market is wrong on Wilstermann Cooperativa v Atletico Juniors
Wilstermann Cooperativa meet Atletico Juniors in the Nacional B regular season - 2.
Wilstermann Cooperativa rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1523 to 1400. Recent form leans Wilstermann Cooperativa, 55% against 0%. Attacking output favors Atletico Juniors on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 86%, over 2.5 goals around 94%. Draw no bet leans Wilstermann Cooperativa at 61%; double chance reads Wilstermann Cooperativa or draw 71%, Atletico Juniors or draw 54%.
Wilstermann Cooperativa arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 10 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: W 5-4 v Atletico Juniors, D 3-3 @ Mineros Potosi, L 0-4 @ Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz, L 2-4 v Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz.
Atletico Juniors are out of sorts: 0W-0D-2L from their last five (0/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 4-5 @ Wilstermann Cooperativa, L 0-2 v Independiente CBBA.
The market prices WIL at 73% implied. Our number sits apart on Atletico Juniors: a 18.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output