Where the market is wrong on Santo Domingo v Cumbayá
Santo Domingo meet Cumbayá in the Liga Pro Serie B relegation group - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 48%. Attacking output favors Santo Domingo on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.9 per match.
Santo Domingo arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Cumbayá, W 3-0 @ 22 de Julio, D 0-0 v Cuniburo, D 3-3 @ Cumbayá.
Cumbayá are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Santo Domingo, D 0-0 v LDU Portoviejo, L 0-3 @ Atletico FC, D 3-3 v Santo Domingo.
The market prices SAN at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 61 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output