Where the market is wrong on Esteghlal FC v Persepolis FC
Esteghlal FC meet Persepolis FC in the Persian Gulf Pro League regular season - 5 at Azadi Stadium, Tehran.
The baseline ratings are close, 1624 to 1560, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Esteghlal FC, 67% against 56%. Attacking output favors Esteghlal FC on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.
Esteghlal FC arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Foolad FC, W 2-0 v Sepahan FC, W 1-0 @ Nassaji Mazandaran, W 4-0 v Mes Shahr-e Babak.
Persepolis FC are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Malavan, L 0-1 @ Tractor Sazi, W 4-1 v Esteghlal Khuzestan, W 2-0 @ Shams Azar Qazvin.
Persepolis FC hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 6 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Persepolis FC 0-0 Esteghlal FC.
The market prices EST at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on Esteghlal FC: a 6.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 68 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
