Where the market is wrong on Orlando Pirates v Sekhukhune United
Orlando Pirates meet Sekhukhune United in the 8 Cup semi-finals at Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg.
Orlando Pirates rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1500. Recent form leans Orlando Pirates, 78% against 50%. Attacking output favors Orlando Pirates on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
Orlando Pirates arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 13 scored and 0 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Kruger United, W 3-0 v Sekhukhune United, W 2-0 v Sekhukhune United, W 1-0 @ Sekhukhune United.
Sekhukhune United are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 2 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Orlando Pirates, L 0-2 @ Orlando Pirates, L 0-1 v Orlando Pirates, W 2-0 v Polokwane City.
The market prices ORL at 66% implied. Our number sits apart on Sekhukhune United: a 8.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
