Club Sp. San Lorenzo v Nacional Asuncion

Club Sp. San Lorenzo meet Nacional Asuncion in the Division Profesional - Clausura clausura - 7 at Estadio Lic. Erico Galeano Segovia, undefined.

Nacional Asuncion rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans Nacional Asuncion, 65% against 28%. Attacking output favors Nacional Asuncion on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 21%, over 2.5 goals around 31%. Draw no bet leans Nacional Asuncion at 71%; double chance reads Club Sp. San Lorenzo or draw 51%, Nacional Asuncion or draw 80%.

Club Sp. San Lorenzo arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 1 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Nacional Asuncion, L 0-1 @ Libertad Asuncion, L 0-1 @ Cerro Porteno, D 1-1 @ 29 de Septiembre FBC.

Nacional Asuncion are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Club Sp. San Lorenzo, W 2-0 v Sportivo Luqueno, W 2-0 @ Benjamín Aceval, D 1-1 @ Sportivo Trinidense.

Nacional Asuncion hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0-3 Nacional Asuncion.

The market prices CLU at 20% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.