Where the market is wrong on FK Kukesi v Pogradeci
FK Kukesi meet Pogradeci in the 1st Division regular season - 3 at Kukes Arena, undefined.
Pogradeci rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1523. Recent form leans Pogradeci, 75% against 53%. Attacking output favors Pogradeci on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.4 per match.
FK Kukesi arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Pogradeci, L 1-3 @ Iliria Fushë-Krujë, W 2-0 v Besëlidhja Lezhë, L 1-4 v Besa Kavajë.
Pogradeci are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ FK Kukesi, W 2-1 v Kastrioti Krujë, D 0-0 @ Iliria Fushë-Krujë, D 1-1 v Besa Kavajë.
Pogradeci hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FK Kukesi 0-3 Pogradeci.
The market prices FK at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on Pogradeci: a 7.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 74 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
