Where the market is wrong on Duhok v Ghaz Al Shamal
Duhok meet Ghaz Al Shamal in the Iraqi League regular season - 6 at Duhok Stadium, Duhok.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Duhok, 53% against 42%. Attacking output favors Duhok on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.7 per match.
Duhok arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Ghaz Al Shamal, W 2-1 v Al Quwa Al Jawiya, D 0-0 @ Newroz, D 1-1 @ Naft.
Ghaz Al Shamal are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Duhok, L 0-1 v Al-Jolan SC, W 1-0 @ Gharraf, D 1-1 @ Al Quwa Al Jawiya.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Duhok 1-1 Ghaz Al Shamal.
The market prices DUH at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Ghaz Al Shamal: a 11.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output