Where the market is wrong on Kabuscorp v Interclube
Kabuscorp meet Interclube in the Girabola regular season - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 57%. Attacking output favors Kabuscorp on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Kabuscorp arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Interclube, L 0-1 @ Bravos do Maquis FC, W 3-1 v UNAM, W 2-0 @ UNAM.
Interclube are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Kabuscorp, W 2-0 v Académica do Lobito, L 1-2 @ 1º de Agosto, W 2-1 v FC Luanda.
The market prices KAB at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
