Where the market is wrong on America PE U20 v Nautico U20
America PE U20 meet Nautico U20 in the Pernambucano - U20 regular season - 2.
Nautico U20 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1509. Recent form leans Nautico U20, 68% against 50%. Attacking output favors Nautico U20 on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans Nautico U20 at 59%; double chance reads America PE U20 or draw 59%, Nautico U20 or draw 72%.
America PE U20 arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Nautico U20, L 0-1 @ Petrolina U20, L 1-2 v Santa Cruz U20, D 1-1 @ Santa Cruz U20.
Nautico U20 are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ America PE U20, L 0-1 @ Itaquá Athletico Clube U20, W 3-1 @ Juventude-MA U20, L 0-2 v Novorizontino U20.
The market prices AME at 15% implied. Our number sits apart on America PE U20: a 13.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
